6th November 2021
Here is a thought-experiment.
Imagine a policy position that a mainstream United Kingdom political party could adopt.
Imagine the prime minister supporting that speech in a public statement – in a speech, or a newspaper article, or a remark in an interview
And now imagine the prime minister saying just the opposite.
It is not only easy to imagine, but also to think of counter-examples of a mainstream policy position he would not take.
We have an infinitely flexible prime minister with no discernible consistency on any question of policy.
Of course, there is political – as opposed to policy – consistency: he will be motivated by advancing his own interests and those, where they coincide with his own, of his party.
But on any question of policy – as opposed to politics – there is no depth.
This is the politician who wrote two columns about Brexit.
This is also the politician who berated environmental policies before telling the United Nations that it was not easy being green.
(And anyone with the surname Green could have told him, that line often falls flat as a joke.)
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Perhaps these observations are, well, obvious – but that does not make it pointless to point them out.
And nor does familiarity with the prime minister’s lack of principle remove the need to work out the implications of this (lack of) approach.
One implication – which may be painful for some readers – is that it shows the failure of liberal and progressive forces..
For if a charlatan could have come to power on the back of liberalism and progressive politics, then the charlatan would have done so.
In this way the prime minister is not a cause but a consequence of a failure of liberalism and progressive politics.
The politics of this country since 2015 have been dominated not by Brexit victories but by two decisive Remain defeats – in 2016 and 2019.
There is no good reason why Remain lost the 2016 referendum.
Remain was the status quo, with economic benefits, and the policy of every mainstream party, and with the weight of government funding behind it.
But many supporters of membership were complacent.
The case for the European Union was never properly made by any senior politician, because there was no political interest in them doing so.
Parties and politicians thereby competed with each other to be sceptical of the European Union, with opt-outs and renegotiations and what-not.
And the prime minister only won the overall majority in the 2019 general election because opposition parties gifted him a general election on the issue of ‘Get Brexit Done’.
Before that general election, had opposition parties worked together in that hung parliament, it was plausible that there could have been a further referendum.
The prime minister did not create this Remain complacency and confusion, but he took full advantage of it.
Had the forces of Remain, and of liberalism and progressive politics, been less weak the prime ministers opportunism would not have been so successful.
Indeed: the charlatan would have switched sides, and switched columns.
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The rise of the current prime minister is the index of the failure of liberalism and progressive politics: a mirror-image, a shadow.
The more we complain about the prime minister’s principle-free approach to policy, the more we are really complaining about our failure to get the electorate to take a principle-based approach seriously.
As this blog has averred previously, there is no practical point in exposing lies, if the electorate does not mind being lied to.
And the same can be said of corruption: there is no practical point in exposing corruption, if the electorate does not mind the corruption.
The real task therefore for those opposed to the politics of the current prime minister is not just to expose and condemn the lies and corruption – for that is the easy bit – but to get sufficient electors to care about the lies and corruption.
For if that engagement cannot be achieved then we have the prospect of fundamental disconnect between policy and politics – for it would not matter the policy (or lack of policy) of the governing party, charlatans will be politically successful anyway.
And the starting point for those politically opposed to the prime minister is not to see his manifest faults as telling things about him, but also about the failures of those who opposed to him.
Johnson is not really the cause but the consequence of the defeats of 2016 and 2019, but the explanations for those defeats are harder for his opponents to consider.
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