Has Johnson actually resigned? And, if so, can he renege on that resignation?

8th July 2022

The fact that people do not believe Boris Johnson has resigned – or believe he will reverse a resignation – speaks to the wariness many have about this particular cynical opportunistic politician.

And they are right to be wary.

This post – which follows a popular Twitter thread yesterday – sets out what appears to be the current position.

Put simply: the matter has been taken out of his hands.

*

Has Johnson resigned?

Johnson holds two positions from which he can resign: the leader of the Conservative Party and Prime Minister.

Yesterday Johnson announced his resignation as party leader.

Here, yesterday’s speech from Johnson was significant.

True, he did not use the word ‘resign’.

But the R-word is not a magic word, and there was no formal reason why he had to utter it aloud for it to make all the difference.

What he did say was enough:

“It is clearly now the will of the parliamentary Conservative Party that there should be a new leader of that party and therefore a new prime minister.

“And I’ve agreed with Sir Graham Brady, the chairman of our backbench MPs, that the process of choosing that new leader should begin now and the timetable will be announced next week.

“And I’ve today appointed a Cabinet to serve, as I will, until a new leader is in place.”

The only meaning these words can have is that a new leader can now be put in place.

And the only way this can happen is for him to cease to be leader.

With his statement yesterday, Johnson – at a stroke – lost control of the process.

As and when the parliamentary Conservative party choose a new leader, that new leader will be invited by the Queen to form a new government.

Johnson does not need to do anything more.

He will cease to be Prime Minister by automatic operation of the constitution.

Under the current rules of his parliamentary party, he also cannot stand for election in the new contest.

All this means is that should now just a question of time before there is a new Prime Minister.

*

Can he renege on his resignation?

One fear is that he may seek to renege on his resignation – to change his mind.

He can certainly purport to do that – and it is not impossible that he will try.

But.

It would not be a matter for him – it would be a matter for the 1922 Committee.

Again, the situation is no longer under his control.

For this to happen would require (a) for him to (purport) to (somehow) rescind his resignation and (b) that rescission to be accepted by the 1922 Committee.

There is perhaps a possibility that the 1922 Committee may agree to this, but that would be their collective decision, and not his.

And if the 1922 Committee did not agree to the rescission, then the process would continue, a new leader will be selected and asked to form a government, and Johnson will still cease to be Prime Minister.

*

What if, what if?

Of course, there are various possible situations that could happen between now and Johnson ceasing to be Prime Minister.

The conflict with Russia could escalate; there could be a new pandemic, or a new wave of the current pandemic; the Queen may die; and so on.

Johnson may wish to contrive an emergency, or there may be a genuine emergency.

It may well be that a development is so immense that Johnson may say he should continue in office.

But.

In every conceivable scenario, we come back to the same point: it would not ultimately be a matter for him.

Yesterday he lost ultimate control of his political fate and there is no situation which means he regains that control.

It may be that Johnson hangs on, hoping something will turn up which will mean he can carry on – and this is plausible.

He is a cynical opportunist.

But, if that was to happen, it would require others to decide that to be the case, and not just him.

*

Sooner rather than later?

There are strong – if not overwhelming – arguments that Johnson should go sooner rather than later.

This is a politician who cannot be trusted.

The highly important disclosure that Johnson met with a ‘former’ KGB spy as Foreign Secretary during a security crisis and without officials is just one of many reasons why he should no longer be Prime Minister.

However, the constitutional position is not straightforward.

There is no formal role of ‘acting’ Prime Minister – it is a binary position, either you are Prime Minister or you are not.

There is some precedent for someone to come in as a ‘caretaker’ – in 1834 the former Prime Minister the Duke of Wellington headed a caretaker ministry until the new Prime Minister Sir Robert Peel could return from abroad.

And there is one former Conservative Prime Minister still in parliament, Theresa May.

Imagine that.

Others have suggested that the current deputy Prime Minister Dominic Raab could be an interim Prime Minister.

In the meantime, there are rules and conventions that apply to lame duck Prime Ministers, which applied in the last days of the premierships of Gordon Brown, David Cameron and Theresa May.

Here see the commentary of the peerless Dr Catherine Haddon:

But merely me typing – and you reading – ‘rules and conventions’ in the context of the departing Prime Minister Boris Johnson make one realise their limits in this particular case.

That said: so far, one day later, it looks as if Johnson and those who have agreed to serve in his cabinet are abiding by those rules and conventions.

And it an inescapable fact that the Conservative Party do need to have a new leader – and some of the candidates are not the sort you would want to rush into premiership.

*

Of piglets and grease

None of the above means that the ‘greased piglet’ will definitely now leave the premiership.

It just means that it is no longer solely the decision of Boris Johnson.

His cynical opportunism in and of itself will not be enough.

And it may well be that his cynical opportunistic mind is already moving on – and there will be personal advantage in him leaving the House with its (for him) irksome rules on financial disclosure and its (for him) dangerous committees investigating his conduct.

And any bad conduct now may also limit his last remaining source of patronage bounty – the resignation honours list.

Johnson is many things, but he is not stupid.

He is calculating.

You may recall that in 2019 many feared that he would breach the Benn Act and not ask for an Article 50 extension.

But, in the end, faced with an absolute obstacle, the bravado bullishness fell away – and the cynical opportunist adjusted to the situation.

And yesterday, he similarly did not push the situation so as to ‘fight on’.

*

So: if others do provide him with even the possibility of staying on as Prime Minister, he may well seek to exploit that possibility.

But: it is no longer his own absolute choice.

His next cynical opportunities are now elsewhere.

**

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The resignation of Boris Johnson – and why that is not enough for good government to return

7th July 2022

Well.

This morning I was writing a Twitter thread on what would happen if all government minsters resigned.

For such a surreal thing to be of any practical concern, rather than for academic speculation, indicates that it has been an odd few days in the politics of the United Kingdom.

And now the current Prime Minister has announced his resignation.

He is not going immediately – but the process for a finding a new Conservative party leader will now start and it seems to me that Johnson cannot now do anything to stop that process.

Once that process produces a new leader, that leader will be invited to form a government by the Queen, and Johnson – by automatic operation of the constitution – will instantly cease to be Prime Minister.

He may go even sooner, with a ‘caretaker’ Prime Minister put in place until a new Conservative leader emerges.

Johnson may remain in office, but his announcement today means he has lost ultimate control of his political fate.

*

His resignation shows the operation of another constitutional rule – perhaps the most fundamental constitutional rule of all.

That rule is that Hubris is usually followed by Nemesis.

Wise politicians know this – and so they run tight ships, knowing that the pull of the tides can result in capsizing or being wrecked.

Less wise politicians assume their moment of great power will last forever.

Johnson – a successful electoral politician – was brought down not by any great policy issue or national crisis.

From Partygate and the Owen Paterson affair, he and his circle made unforced error after unforced error.

He and his circle believed that they could casually defy rules and conventions.

And so the ship of state became a ship of fools.

*

Johnson in December 2019 had the greatest prizes that the constitution of the United Kingdom can bestow on a Prime Minister.

He had won an emphatic general election victory – and so he had the “mandate” that meant he could translate his programme into practice without delays in the House of Lords.

And he had a substantial majority – of eighty – which meant he could get through the House of Commons legislation and revenue provisions without opposition.

He even had, with Covid and then Ukraine, two huge unifying issues for him to pose as a Churchillian leader.

Yet, two-and-a-half years later, he is resigning.

And the mandate and the majority have been wasted.

The latest Queen’s Speech was an embarrassing sequence of proposals, showing that the government had no direction.

And the one thing that Johnson and his government did do – Brexit with a withdrawal agreement – he was seeking to break.

Power without responsibility, as another Prime Minister once said in a different context.

*

Brexit was begat by the Conservative and Unionist Party.

The 2016 referendum was an exercise in party management, and it was from that egg that Brexit first emerged.

After 2016 the Conservative and Unionist Party said Brexit should mean Brexit, and they campaigned on that basis.

And under Johnson, the Conservative and Unionist Party “got Brexit done”.

But Brexit, being ungrateful, is destroying the Conservatives and dismantling the Union.

The revolution is devouring its begetters.

It is a political morality tale.

*

And so good bye then Boris Johnson, if not now but soon.

The curious thing is that he may not even be the worst of the post-2010 Prime Ministers.

It was David Cameron who risked the future of the country on a single turn of pitch-and-toss – and with no preparation for a Leave vote.

It was Theresa May who insisted that Brexit had to be done, at speed, with its ‘red lines’ that kept the United Kingdom outside the Single Market.

These macro political mistakes were profound.

And we now have the greatest political mess in living memory, if not modern history.

It is time for the excitement to die down, and for a return to the dull work of taking government seriously.

The ejection of the repugnant Johnson from the body politic is a necessary step towards such political good health – but it is not a sufficient one.

Let us hope that we have not left it too late for there to be a recovery.

**

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What if Boris Johnson refuses to resign?

6th July 2022

Since 2016 we have had in the United Kingdom a great deal of constitutional drama.

We have had a referendum; supreme court cases; departure from the European Union; a hung parliament; and prime ministers come and go.

This has been all very exciting – though, of course, constitutional affairs should not be exciting.

They should be dull.

This is because a constitution sets the parameters of everyday political action – the rules of the game – and if those parameters are being continuously tested and contested then that indicates all is not well with the polity.

But for all this drama, there has not yet been a constitutional crisis – close, but not quite.

Here ‘crisis’ means a serious situation, the outcome of which is not certain.

And ‘constitutional crisis’ means such a situation where there is the prospect of a constitutional tension hardening into a contradiction.

Since 2016, whenever it has looked like that a constitutional drama was coming close to an actual crisis, the situation has resolved: court orders were complied with, and Article 50 extensions were put in place, and so on.

Something gave way each time.

But.

What happens if the current Prime Minister Boris Johnson keeps refusing to resign?

As it stands he is the leader of a majority party, which he led to victory at the 2019 general election.

Since then he has had a collapse in political support, and in the last couple of days at least twenty members of the government have resigned.

It may well be that his own parliamentary party has another vote of confidence, which he may lose.

Or he may be told by senior backbenchers that he should resign, or face such a vote.

In normal times such a besieged Prime Minister would resign.

But what if Johnson refuses?

What if he says no to the delegation?

What if he refuses to quit after losing a vote of no confidence as leader of his party?

We would have a serious situation, certainly.

*

First, however, we need to distinguish between his respective positions as party leader and as Prime Minister.

A successful vote of no confidence in him as leader of the Conservative Party does not – in and of itself – remove him as Prime Minister.

And from time to time, we have had Prime Ministers who were not party leaders.

So the leadership of his party could be taken from him – but that would not mean automatically that he would cease to be Prime Minister.

*

There would then be a problem.

His parliamentary party could perhaps seek to force the issue and support a parliamentary (rather than a party) vote of no confidence – but that may risk Johnson seeking a general election (which a Prime Minister can ask the Queen for, now that the Fixed-term Parliaments Act is repealed.

Or they could join others in our society and go on strike, and refuse to support government business.

But other than that, and tutting loudly, there is little that the parliamentary party can do directly to remove an unwanted Prime Minister.

Indirectly, however, they can elect a new leader – and hope (and expect) that new leader to be invited by the Queen to form a government.

For it is only the monarch, in our system, who has the direct power to hire and fire a Prime Minister.

*

But here we have another problem.

The Queen may have that power in theory – but Buckingham Palace would be reluctant to intervene in a politically controversial situation, such as a stand-off between the Prime Minister and his political party.

As this blog recently set out, there are the so-called Lascelles Principles, which are supposed to govern how the Crown would deal with, say, a request for a general election.

But the possible stand-off is not quite the same.

And – and this must be emphasised – the Australia crisis of 1975 still sends shudders through the walls of Buckingham Palace and it is uppermost in the collective memory of those who work there.

Again, there would be an attempt to have a quiet word – just as the chairman of the 1922 Committee will have tried.

But what if Johnson says no to the Queen?

*

Well.

We would be at the end of that particular constitutional road and the Queen will have to make the decision to invite someone else to form the government.

She would have to sack Boris Johnson, because she is the only one who can.

Of course, this is not what anyone would want, especially in her jubilee year and with her ill health.

But the constitution of the United Kingdom would offer no other choice.

For, however powerful the office of Prime Minister is, there is still something (theoretically) stronger: the power of the Crown.

And, as this blog has averred before: one useful function of the Crown is not so much in respect of the powers it does have, but the powers it prevents others from having – or exercising.

If the Queen did invite another to form the government, there would be nothing Johnson could do legally or constitutionally.

Indeed, there would be nothing for him to do – he would not need to actively resign.

One moment he would be Prime Minister, and the next moment he would not be.

The premiership would be stripped from him by automatic operation of the royal prerogative.

*

Of course, one would hope that Johnson would concede before that point.

But in the United States, his fellow populist Donald Trump has never conceded – and he chose to be away from the White House on the day of inauguration rather than be marched out of it as a trespasser.

Who knows what would happen in practice – whether the matter would get to the Queen or not.

It would certainly be constitutionally exciting.

Brace, brace.

**

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Yes, part of our [expletive] constitution is (or was) a letter written to the Times *under a pseudonym*

30th June 2022

This was an amusing exchange today on Twitter between two journalists:

Yes, part of our [expletive] constitution is (or was) a letter written to the Times *under a pseudonym*.

Because the United Kingdom does not have a codified constitution, the sources of our constitutional law (and lore) are in many places.

As is sometimes said, the United Kingdom does have a written constitution – it is just not written down in one place.

Some of the sources are cases and statutes, some of the sources are authoritative textbooks and guidance, and – in this case – it is a letter to a newspaper.

According to Professor Wikipedia (as I cannot find the letter on the Times website), the operative test of the 1950 letter is as follows:

“In so far as this matter can be publicly discussed, it can be properly assumed that no wise Sovereign—that is, one who has at heart the true interest of the country, the constitution, and the Monarchy—would deny a dissolution to his Prime Minister unless he were satisfied that: (1) the existing Parliament was still vital, viable, and capable of doing its job; (2) a General Election would be detrimental to the national economy; (3) he could rely on finding another Prime Minister who could carry on his Government, for a reasonable period, with a working majority in the House of Commons.

“When Sir Patrick Duncan refused a dissolution to his Prime Minister in South Africa in 1939, all these conditions were satisfied: when Lord Byng did the same in Canada in 1926, they appeared to be, but in the event the third proved illusory.”

That last sentence is especially interesting because it reminds us that our monarch is also the monarch of elsewhere, and the author of the letter purports to draw a general view from instances of where the monarch’s power has been exercised (or not exercised) in other jurisdictions.

The basis of the letter is therefore not (it seems) what the author thinks should be the case, but a statement of what is practically the case.

Since this 1950 letter at least two things have happened which casts doubt on whether that is still a correct statement of practice.

The first is the further depoliticisation of the Crown – just as a statement from the 1830s or 1880s would not necessarily be a good guide to the position in 1950, a statement from 1950 may not necessarily be a good statement of the position in the 2020s.

The second was the 1975 Constitutional Crisis in Australia.

That crisis is still felt with a shudder in Buckingham Palace and elsewhere.

The fall-out from the 1975 crisis was such that it probably negates any prior general statements of about the position of the monarch in respect of a Prime Minister and practical politics.

It may therefore be that the 1950 statement is no longer a reliable guide to what the monarch understands to be the constitutional position in respect of a request by a Prime Minister for a dissolution.

And, furthermore, Parliament has also since 1950 enacted and then repealed the Fixed-term Parliaments Act, which presumably shows that Parliament intends the Prime Minister to have the power to ask for parliament to be dissolved.

But.

Two things should not be conflated.

The first thing is whether the Monarch is able to refuse a request for a dissolution, full stop.

The second is whether the 1950 statement is still a reliable expression of when the monarch can and cannot do so.

One of the merits of the Crown in the constitution of the United Kingdom is not so much the power which the Crown has, but the powers it prevents others from having.

There is something welcome in a Prime Minister not having absolute powers – even if the check and balance is a hereditary head of state.

*

No doubt, the monarch may be more reluctant in the 2020s than before to refuse a request by the Prime Minister for Parliament to be dissolved.

But that does not mean that the residual power of refusal has been abandoned completely.

The Queen may still refuse a request by the current Prime Minister for a dissolution.

We just cannot today be certain what the criteria for such a refusal would be,

And if any well-connected and informed person can tell us the current position, please comment below – using an appropriate pseudonym.

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Posts elsewhere on the “Bill of Rights” and on by-elections

27th June 2022

Just a brief post here today, as I am currently writing one of my longer posts for (I hope) posting on this blog later in the week.

Over at Al Jazeera, I have written again from a liberal constitutionalist perspective for an international audience.

My piece there this week is on the significance of last week’s by-elections – and why, generally, by-elections and other ‘mid-term’ events can be constitutionally significant, even if they are not good predictions of general election results.

And this is because in the British constitution it is common for Prime Ministers to either gain or lose power between general elections (or both) – as this blog has set out previously.

Over at Prospect I have done a comment piece on the new ‘Bill of Rights’ – focusing on its pointlessness but also emphasising that it shows the wrong priorities for the Ministry of Justice, a small department with a limited budget.

Today, criminal barristers are on strike – as the criminal justice system is in an ongoing crisis.

For the current Lord Chancellor to prioritise this ‘Bill of Rights’ above everything else at the Ministry of Justice is a serious error.

So, as my Prospect piece concludes, this bill is the legislative equivalent of lounging on a beach while Afghanistan falls.

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Why the current government may not have a mandate for repealing the Human Rights Act – and why this may matter

24th June 2022

In yesterday’s post on this blog, the successive manifesto commitments of the current governing party since 2010 on the Human Rights Act were set out.

These commitments were as follows :-

The 2010 Conservative manifesto (twelve years ago):

“To protect our freedoms from state encroachment and encourage greater social responsibility, we will replace the  Human Rights Act with a UK Bill of Rights.”

The 2015 Conservative manifesto (seven years ago):

“The next Conservative Government will scrap the Human Rights Act, and introduce a British Bill of Rights. This will break the formal link between British courts and the European Court of Human Rights, and make our own Supreme Court the ultimate arbiter of human rights matters in the UK.”

The 2017 Conservative manifesto (five years ago) placed a foot on the ball:

“We will not repeal or replace the Human Rights Act while the process of Brexit is underway but we will consider our human rights legal framework when the process of leaving the EU concludes.”

And then most recently, in the 2019 Conservative manifesto:

“We will update the Human Rights Act and administrative law to ensure that there is a proper balance between the rights of individuals, our vital national security and effective government.”

*

This post looks at what the implications of that last 2019 commitment may be – though, in doing so, it is accepted that manifesto commitments are not legally binding obligations, and so there is leeway in how they are to be interpreted.

The 2010 and 2015 manifesto commitments do not need much interpretation in respect of the Human Rights Act – they are as plain as any pikestaff.

The Human Rights Act was to go – replaced, scrapped.

The 2017 commitment is also not ambiguous – the Human Rights Act was to stay, for now.

But.

The 2019 commitment was not that the Act would be replaced or scrapped, or that it was to safe for now.

The 2019 commitment was only to ‘update‘ the Act.

The 2019 commitment could have been to ‘scrap’ or ‘replace’ the Act – but the governing party decided against making that commitment.

The governing party opted for ‘update’ instead.

*

The governing party thereby has an election mandate for ‘updating’ the Human Rights Act.

And so if this is what they do, then that cannot be gainsaid – at least not constitutionally,

But the government is not now proposing merely to update the Act – but to repeal it and replace it with another statute.

To do, in effect, what the 2010 and 2015 manifestos promised.

But do the governing party have a mandate for repealing the Human Rights Act outright?

In other words: is repeal within the scope of an ‘update’?

Again, it is important not to be legalistic about this – no legal claim can be brought for a government breaking its manifesto promises, and so no manifesto should read as it is a formal legal document.

But what is stated in a manifesto is not without constitutional consequences.

This is because of the so-called ‘Salisbury doctrine’ – a constitutional convention.

This doctrine provides – quite rightly – that it is not open to the House of Lords to block or delay legislation for which a government has obtained a mandate at a general election.

The question thereby becomes whether this proposed ‘Bill of Rights’  is protected by the Salisbury doctrine or not.

If it is protected by the Salisbury doctrine, then the House of Lords cannot and should not block or delay the bill – though, of course, it may seek to make amendments.

If the bill is not protected by the Salisbury doctrine, however, then there could be such delays – including forcing the government to resort to the Parliament Acts to force the law onto the statute book after a year without the support of the House of Lords.

As the new bill substantially reduces rights and freedoms of individuals, there may be those in the House of Lords that will want to amend the bill beyond what the current government would want to accept – and to insist on those amendments.

Their view may be that “updates” – whatever that means – may be fine, but not outright repeal –  because the government cannot point to any mandate for repeal.

*

If a bill is protected by the Salisbury doctrine, then the House of Lords will (usually) back down before the government has to invoke the Parliament Acts.

Of course, the only reason any of the above may be an issue is, no doubt, that the governing party did not want to say expressly in its manifesto that it would repeal the Human Rights Act outright, as that might have scared the voters, if not the horses.

A promise to ‘update’ was a lot less alarming to middle-ground voters.

*

One suspects the House of Lords will be wary about opposing the government in respect of such a populist piece of legislation.

And the government – and its media and political supporters – will clap and cheer at the prospect of a ‘peers vs people’ narrative.

But because of the mild wording of the 2019 manifesto commitment, the government cannot be certain of the House of Lords will back down on outright repeal.

And, what is more, this government in particular is not in any strong position to insist that other elements of our constitutional order comply with mere conventions.

**

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“Oh no, not again” – the story of the Human Rights Act and of the new “Bill of Rights”

23rd June 2022

*

“Curiously enough, the only thing that went through the mind of the bowl of petunias as it fell was ‘Oh no, not again’.”

– Douglas Adams, The Hitchhikers Guide to the Galaxy

*

Legal and constitutional commentators are the petunias of the modern age.

The current bout of constitutional excitements started in around 2015, and these excitements have carried on relentlessly since.

Again and again the government has threatened to do something – or done something – drastic in respect of our constitutional arrangements.

Seven or so years later it is rather exhausting to keep up.

And giving up is tempting.

But keep up we must, as these are serious matters – even if government and its political and media supporters do not take them seriously.

For the political and media supporters of government will clap and cheer at each of these constitutional disturbances – and will delight in the ‘libs’ being ‘owned’.

Well, this ‘lib’ is more bored than owned.

But commentary must be offered, if only as a corrective to the narratives of those currently in power and those who support them.

And so this is the story of the Human Rights Act 1998 and the supposed “Bill of Rights” with which the government wants to replace it.

*

Before the Second World War, a certain sort of English person would have boasted not of having rights but of having liberties.

The notion was that an English person was free to do whatever they wish, unless it was prohibited.

The self-image was of a robust anti-authoritarianism – and it was an image which gained wide purchase.

And to an extent it was a fair depiction – the powers of the Crown had generally been made subject to Parliament, and most exercises of state power could be contested before a court.

But.

The Victorian doctrine of parliamentary supremacy – which asserted that Parliament could make or un-make any power it wanted – had as an unfortunate implication that the subject was powerless in the face of a determined executive dominating the legislature.

This implication was noticed by, among others, a Lord Chief Justice – Lord Hewitt – who in 1929 published The New Despotism warning of the illiberal power of the British state.

And in the Second World War what Hewitt warned of in theory was carried out in practice with the government’s use of the defence regulations.

For all the comforting self-image, there was not in practice robust English liberties that would actually protect the subject against the king’s government – let alone the citizen against the state.

Perhaps there never had been.

*

Following the Second World War there was a spate of international conferences and organisations that purported to declare and protect rights.

One of these, of course, was the European Convention on Human Rights.

This convention provided for a number of rights, contained in articles.

Some of the rights were set out in the original convention, and some were added in later protocols.

The convention was connected to the Council of Europe, which now comprises most European states:

By being party to the convention, a country agrees to be bound by the convention as a matter of international law.

Some claim that the convention was promoted by Winston Churchill and drafted by Conservative lawyers – but their contribution should not be overstated (see this fine book for what did happen).

The United Kingdom at the time the convention was ratified in 1951 did not see the convention as controversial or as being inconsistent with domestic law.

The convention did not only provide for rights but it also established a court to determine whether any signatory – as a matter of international law – was in breach of its obligations under the convention.

That court is the European Court of Human Rights in Strasbourg, of which you may have heard.

*

What happened next is not widely known.

As is described in a House of Commons library paper:

“Although the UK ratified the European Convention on Human Rights in 1951, it was 1965 before the UK Government declared, by an option under then Article 25 of the Convention, that it would accept the jurisdiction of the Court in relation to individual complaints. The optional clause was debated in late 1980, amid charges that the Court was “interfering with the exercise of parliamentary sovereignty” and “limiting [the UK’s] freedom of action”, but in 1981 and subsequently it was accepted for five more years. In 1994, during the negotiation of Protocol 11, the UK tried in vain to ensure that the right of individual petition would remain optional. The Government thought the Court had too much power, and the possibility of non-renewal of individual petition would act as a check on its authority.”

The United Kingdom did not allow anyone to actually petition the Strasbourg court until 1964.

And until relatively recently – the mid-1990s – governments of all parties resisted the reach of the Strasbourg court.

*

This resistance had the following effects.

First, it created immense costs and delays for individuals who wanted the United Kingdom to comply with its international obligations.

For example, in the case of Malone – in my view, one of the most important constitutional cases in the last hundred years – a 1977 incident did not reach a Strasbourg judgment until 1984.

There the Strasbourg court held that any surveillance of the individual by the state had to have a lawful basis.

The English court had held, in effect, that just as it was open to any subject to do as they wish unless prohibited, it was also open to state bodies to do as they wished unless prohibited.

That’s robust English liberties, for you.

The Malone decision in turn led to the United Kingdom placing its surveillance regime onto a legal – and thereby legally contestable basis.

But it took seven years for the judgment to happen.

Second, it meant that lawyers developed various means of referring to Strasbourg jurisprudence in domestic courts.

I remember seeing this article as a law student in the mid-1990s:

By then it was getting rather silly.

A United Kingdom litigant seeking to rely on their convention rights had to go to the cost and delays of going to Strasbourg, or had to find a clever lawlerly way of relying on Strasbourg caselaw in a domestic case.

But what that litigant could not do is rely on their convention rights in a straightforward way before the domestic courts – even though the United Kingdom was bound by the convention (and by the Strasbourg court’s interpretation of the convention) as a matter of international law.

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And then, in 1997, the electorate of the United Kingdom returned a Labour government:

Things could only get better, or so people thought.

And one thing the government did to make things better was to introduce legislation so that the convention could be relied on in domestic courts.

This would not only solve the increasingly absurd problem of the costs and delays of individual petition and indirect reliance, it also gave effect to a key provision of the Good Friday Agreement which was signed in April 1998.

One of the express bases of that agreement was that the convention had to be capable of being directly enforced in the courts of Northern Ireland – in particular against the Northern Irish Assembly:

And so the Human Rights Act 1998 came into being, which allowed direct access to the courts for breaches of the convention, and not just for those in Northern Ireland.

As the government of the day boasted in an allusion to the popular football song: rights were brought home:

The Act took effect on 2 October 2000.

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But.

The Human Rights Act never gained universal support.

This is for, I think, two main reasons.

First, the popular media disliked how English judges created an entirely new tort – misuse of private information – on the back of the 1998 Act.

The Act does not expressly provide for any such cause of action.

But case-by-case, the courts crafted a new basis for suing for breaches of privacy.

And the courts did not ‘develop’ the corresponding right of free expression in any comparable way.

Few reporters and editors came to see the Human Rights Act as an instrument that would protect them like their American counterparts who could point to their constitutional rights.

Second, the politics following 2001 and 9/11 pushed against human rights protections.

It is difficult to imagine the Human Rights Act being enacted after 2001 had it not been enacted before.

The Labour governments became more illiberal, as anti-terrorist act followed anti-terrorist act.

And by 2006:

Human rights may well have come home – but they were now unloved by the Act’s own parents.

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At this time, the then-opposition Conservatives were becoming even more opposed to the Human Rights Act than the Labour government.

So also in 2006:

The 2010 Conservative manifesto (twelve years ago):

“To protect our freedoms from state encroachment and encourage greater social responsibility, we will replace the  Human Rights Act with a UK Bill of Rights.”

The 2015 Conservative manifesto (seven years ago):

“The next Conservative Government will scrap the Human Rights Act, and introduce a British Bill of Rights. This will break the formal link between British courts and the European Court of Human Rights, and make our own Supreme Court the ultimate arbiter of human rights matters in the UK.”

The 2017 Conservative manifesto (five years ago) placed a foot on the ball:

“We will not repeal or replace the Human Rights Act while the process of Brexit is underway but we will consider our human rights legal framework when the process of leaving the EU concludes.”

And then most recently, in the 2019 Conservative manifesto:

“We will update the Human Rights Act and administrative law to ensure that there is a proper balance between the rights of individuals, our vital national security and effective government.”

As it happens the government elected on the back of that latest manifesto is not prosing to “update” the Human Rights Act but now to repeal it – at least in form.

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Alongside these manifesto commitments, there have been various attempts to find a practical way of repealing or updating the 1998 Act.

In 2011 there was a commission established by the government:

But this went nowhere.

In 2014 the then justice secretary launched a new attack at Conservative party conference.

And that went nowhere.

And in 2015-16, the then prime minister was again about to take on the Human Rights Act – and may well have done so but for Brexit:

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And now, in 2022, we have yet another attempt to repeal the Human Rights Act, twenty-five years after the Human Rights Bill was introduced by the incoming Labour government.

The difference now, however, is that the proposals have reached the stage of draft legislation before Parliament.

And the justice secretary proposing the new legislation, Dominic Raab, is a long-term opponent of the Human Rights Act and was the junior justice minister under Cameron responsible charged with finding an alternative to the Act.

In effect, the Human Rights Act is Moby Dick to Raab’s Captain Ahab.

It does not matter that the criminal justice system is in crisis, scarce ministerial time and departmental resources will be devoted to repealing the 1998 Act.

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The 1998 Act is unlikely to survive this assault.

There is enough time for the bill to pass before the next general election, and there is sheer determination to get the bill through.

But.

The essentials of the Act will remain.

The Good Friday Agreement will still require that the convention can be given direct effect in the courts of Northern Ireland.

The United Kingdom will still be bound by the convention as a matter of international law.

If the domestic courts do not protect convention rights then litigants can still go to Strasbourg.

The United Kingdom will still be required to comply with the decisions of the Strasbourg court.

And resourceful lawyers – and judges – will still find ways of referring to Strasbourg jurisprudence in domestic courts when determining convention rights.

And so one consequence of the new bill is that cost and expense will be added to the process of relying on convention rights under a treaty that will still bind the United Kingdom under international law.

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As this blog set out yesterday, the core of the new bill is the same as the 1998 Act.

The convention rights are still listed in the schedule; the definition of convention rights is the same; and the key obligation on public authorities to comply with the convention is also the same.

What the bill does is to introduce a number of provisions that will make it far more difficult for litigants to rely on those rights in domestic courts.

Over at the blog of Professor Mark Elliott there is an outstanding post – written within a day of the publication of the new bill – that details all the new legislative contraptions and devices, the purpose of which is to inconvenience the litigant seeking to rely on their convention rights.

Elliott’s post should be read and circulated as widely as possible.

And Elliott’s conclusion is compelling:

“the Government’s strategy appears to involve making it more difficult for human rights to be enforced in UK law both by marginalising the domestic influence of the ECtHR and by limiting the capacity of domestic courts to uphold Convention rights.”

And this is why – jaded and fatigued as any sensible person must be who is keeping up with this government’s ongoing attack on our constitutional arrangements – we have to be vigilant about this latest exercise in limiting the ability of individuals to rely on rights which the United Kingdom is bound to protect by international law.

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The government is not – and cannot – take the United Kingdom out of the European Convention of Human Rights – at least not without breaching the Good Friday Agreement.

The government is still obliged to give effect under international law to the rights contained in convention – and individuals will still have the right to petition the court.

But after twenty years of trying, the current government party has put forward the means of attacking the Human Rights Act by limiting the ready enforcement of these rights by individuals.

And so as a bowl of petunias once no doubt thought: brace, brace.

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The curious resignation letter of Lord Geidt – what it says, what it does not say, and what it signifies

16th June 2022

Lord Geidt is an unlikely man of steel.

Yet it appears that steel was the reason for his resignation.

And so, as a discreet but embarrassed courtier, he has chosen to exit via the ‘trade’ route.

(Photo by Chance Agrella from Freerange Stock – donation made.)

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See this outstanding and informative thread from the estimable trade expert Sam Lowe for the practical background to this matter:

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But what can we make of the resignation letter and the reply?

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Lord Geidt comes from a diplomatic background.

And diplomats, like lawyers, are wordsmiths.

(It is just that their wordsmithery is often about imprecision and ambiguity, in contrast to the lawyerly lust for precision and clarity.)

He will have chosen his words and formulations carefully.

So let us look at the operative paragraph:

An “impossible and odious position” is quite a striking thing to say.

(Though “deliberate and purposeful” seems a tautology.)

The Prime Minister’s letter sets out more about the request for advice:

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There is a lot here that does not make immediate sense.

Lord Geidt for all his many merits is not a lawyer, still less a trade lawyer.

There would be no obvious reason for “tasking” him for a view on something to do with the legality of tariffs.

The question must have come before him another way.

Some are speculating that it may be because of party donations, but this appears to be being denied (though the denial is in a curious form):

My current suspicion is that there may have been a request for a ministerial direction to do something with which an official did not feel comfortable, which then somehow got referred to Lord Geidt.

Who knows.

But connecting the [X] of a steel tariffs issue to the [Y] of an ethics adviser resigning is not easy.

And this is the case even if Lord Geidt simply used this issue as a pretext to resign.

There is something missing here.

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But.

What is not missing here, however, is that this incident shows that our current Prime Minister is at best indifferent to two rules-based regimes.

The first is the Ministerial Code – which, as this blog has previously averred, is a constitutional nonsense, as it offers no real check or balance whatsoever to any Prime Minister.

The second is the rules-based system of the World Trade Organisation.

You may recall government-supporters during Brexit clamouring for the United Kingdom to trade on ‘WTO terms’.

It often seemed they did not know what that actually meant, and it was said because it sounded good.

Well.

It seems that the government of the United Kingdom is as contemptuous of this type of international law as it is of others.

This very week we have seen the government of the United Kingdom seek to break international law with the Northern Irish Protocol Bill and make aggressive noises about compliance with the orders of the European Court of Human Rights.

The rules of the World Trade Organisation are now the third international law regime the government of the United Kingdom want to be free from this week – and it is still only Thursday lunchtime.

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At the heart of this government is a sense of lawlessness – that in area after area there is the view that rules do not and should not apply.

The resignation of Lord Geidt seems to be a double-whammy of two such areas – the Ministerial Code and WTO rules.

But it could have been compliance with the orders of the European Court of Human Rights, or compliance with the Northern Irish Protocol, or compliance with Covid regulations, and so on.

And so on.

Perhaps we will find out more about the circumstances of this particular resignation.

But we already know from previous resignations that much of what has happened is already all too clear.

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The resignation of Lord Geidt after being placed in an impossible position, after being appointed to an impossible position

15th June 2022

Another ethics adviser to the Prime Minister has resigned.

Lord Geidt was placed in an impossible position.

Not least because he was appointed to an impossible position.

As this blog has previously averred, the entire scheme of the Ministerial Code, with an advisor on ministers’ interests, was a constitutional nonsense.

This is because such a code and such an adviser provided no actual check or balance on the power of the Prime Minister.

The code and the adviser only has the power which the Prime Minister of the day allows it to have.

And like most forms of supposed ‘self regulation’ it was in fact an absence of regulation.

It was a cloak for sheer prime ministerial power, and not any counter to it.

This blog does not call for the resignation of people in positions in power often – but this blog did say Lord Geidt should resign.

 

And well done Lord Geidt for resigning when he was placed in an impossible position, while attempting to fulfil this impossible position.

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The curious clause one of the Northern Irish Protocol Bill

14th June 2022

Let us start at the beginning, for it is a very good place to start.

And at the beginning of the Northern Irish Protocol Bill, just after the title, purposes, and preamble, is clause 1.

(A ‘clause’ is what becomes a ‘section’ by legal magic when a Bill becomes an Act.)

Clause 1 provides:

There will be time to look at the other provisions of this Bill, but let us take a moment to look at clause 1.

The content of the clause is not part of the title, purposes or preamble to the Bill.

No, we can check, and it has a clause number.

Clause 1 is intended to be part of statute, to have the force of primary legislation.

But.

It does not seem to be law.

I do not know what it is.

It is called ‘Introduction’ – as if it was part of some Penguin Classic.

But the the title, purposes and preamble are usually all the ‘introduction’ a statute needs.

For example. the purposes tell us that the Bill is to make “provision about the effect in domestic law of the Protocol on Ireland/ Northern Ireland in the EU withdrawal agreement, about other domestic law in subject areas dealt with by the Protocol and for connected purposes.”

That will tell a court what the Act will be for, if a court needs an introductory aid to construction or interpretation of any of the provisions.

The provisions of this clause 1 do not create obligations, or confer any discretions or rights.

What are they doing?

Are they capable of legal effect, in and of themselves?

Are they intended to have legal effect, in and of themselves?

Are they intended to be aids to construction or interpretation of any of other provisions, in the case of ambiguity or doubt?

If so, how?

What are they supposed to be?

They read more like a policy statement or explanatory note for the Bill – but these are separate documents that the government has also published.

The published explanatory notes do not help us:

“[S]ummarises”?

Is the purpose of a clause to “summarise”?

“[M]akes clear”?

Oh dear gods.

If the rest of the Bill needs a provision like this so as to “make” things “clear” then the drafting of the other provisions needs to be done again.

Perhaps clause 1 is just to get “Union with Ireland Act 1800 and the Act of Union (Ireland) 1800” somehow onto the face of the Bill – indeed on to page one – so as to placate unionists?

And, applying the rule against surplusage – that courts give effect, if possible, to every clause and word of a statute so that no clause is rendered superfluous, void, or insignificant (definition taken from here) – what actual difference does clause 1 make to the rest of the Bill?

If clause 1 were – say – to be deleted, what difference would it make to the legal effect of the Bill once enacted?

The fear must be that the creeping use of legislation as a form of political propaganda – press releases by other means – has now infected the very statutory provisions themselves.

It is difficult to imagine what the parliamentary drafter intends by clause 1 as to its legal effect.

Perhaps this has happened with other Bills – and, if so, please leave comments and links below with examples.

Perhaps it a commonplace, and I have missed it in other legislation.

But it does not seem right.

And it perhaps suggests that the government does not sincerely intend to place this Bill on the statute book, and that the Bill as a whole – and not just clause 1 – is merely for political consumption.

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POSTSCRIPT

 

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