20th October 2022
I have been a constitutional geek since about 1987 – from the time of the conflicts about the “community charge” legislation and then Maastricht up to the Brexit showdowns in parliament and the Supreme Court.
But I have never seen political chaos like yesterday – which is carrying on into today.
On the face of it, it could seem nothing much happened: there was a parliamentary vote which the government won.
There was yet another cabinet resignation in a year packed with ministerial resignations, and a Downing Street aide was suspended.
All pretty normal in these not-normal political times.
But.
The details from yesterday were extraordinary: a confidence vote which was not a confidence vote; the opposition party almost taking control of the parliamentary timetable; a three-line whip for the governing party to vote against a manifesto commitment; a large backbench rebellion; a former minister not asking a question in parliament in return for a suspension of that aide; a reported standing row between the departing Home Secretary and the Prime Minister; reports of physical violence in the voting lobbies; a Prime Minister wandering almost-lost through the same lobby unable to properly register her vote; the Chief Whip and Deputy Chief Whip resigning and un-resigning, and then reportedly threatening to un-un-resign unless a statement was put out by Downing Street in the middle of the night (at 1.33am); and so on.
A Tory MP says the deputy chief whip, Craig Whittaker, just exclaimed as he exited the voting lobby: “I am fucking furious and I don’t give a fuck anymore.”
— Aubrey Allegretti (@breeallegretti) October 19, 2022
Conservative MP Charles Walker seems broken by tonight's events – tells @BBCNews he is livid with colleagues pic.twitter.com/H5ns9iWV3T
— Dan Johnson (@DanJohnsonNews) October 19, 2022
Even Wikipedia could not keep up:
2022 UK govt crisis (July)
2022 UK govt crisis (September)
2022 UK govt crisis (October)
2022 UK govt crisis (Early-Nov)
2022 UK govt crisis (Nov 13th)
2022 UK govt crisis (17/11 am)
2022 UK govt crisis (17/11 2pm)
2022 UK govt crisis (17/11 3:30)
2022 UK govt crisis (17/11 3:34) https://t.co/a164PKRxBb— 🤦♂️ Andrew James Carter (@Carter_AndrewJ) October 19, 2022
*
Well.
All the drama from yesterday points to one thing.
There has been an absolute collapse of Prime Ministerial power.
The details from yesterday (and today) are effects, not causes.
They are the effects of there being an implosion in Downing Street, of there being a gap where a functioning Prime Ministership should be.
One way of reckoning the significance of a thing is to imagine what would happen if that thing did not exist.
But now we no longer have to imagine what would happen if we ceased to have a functioning Prime Ministership.
We can now see.
*
This is not – yet – a constitutional crisis.
It is certainly a political crisis – indeed, it is an exemplar of a political crisis.
And it certainly is a constitutional drama.
But not all political crisis tip into constitutional crises.
This is not a constitutional crisis – but unless Parliament and the Cabinet sort it it out, it well could do
The essence of politics is conflict – and it is the failure to resolve those conflicts that can trigger a crisis.
Parliament and the Cabinet now need to act – swiftly – to restore a functioning Prime Ministership.
Until and unless a functioning Prime Ministership is restored there will be an accumulation of more unfortunate and dramatic political details.
And there will be worse: because once a Prime Ministership fails, the government itself will tend to fail; and unless Parliament can check and balance that failure, then Parliament itself could be seen to fail.
*
Brace, brace – as this blog often says.
But alas that warning is too late for the Prime Ministership of Elizabeth Truss.
That has already crashed.
***
Thank you for reading – and please now help this blog continue providing free-to-read and independent commentary on constitutional matters and other law and policy topics.
Posts like this take time and opportunity cost, and so for more posts like this – both for the benefit of you and for the benefit of others – please support through the Paypal box above, or become a Patreon subscriber.
***
Comments Policy
This blog enjoys a high standard of comments, many of which are better and more interesting than the posts.
Comments are welcome, but they are pre-moderated and comments will not be published if irksome.
The comments policy is here.