23rd September 2021
Once upon a time a Brummie solicitor and pundit averred that a post-Brexit trade deal with the United States was ‘in the bag’.
So that's trade deals with both the US & Oz in the bag. Remoaners must be hating this.
— Lord Digby Jones (@Digbylj) July 11, 2017
That Brummie solicitor and pundit was not me – though I did have fun with this boast in a Financial Times piece.
Jones was not the only figure to assume that a post-Brexit trade deal with the United States would be easy.
Almost all Brexiters who had an opinion on the matter assumed that such a trade deal would be a given.
And one such Brexiter was the now prime minister Boris Johnson.
But now he denies he ever said it.
Here, this short video should be watched in full.
‘I've always thought that a free trade deal with the U.S. would be difficult’ Boris Johnson pic.twitter.com/o7TvTvJv3f
— Phantom Power (@PhantomPower14) September 22, 2021
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Shameless stuff.
Oceania has always been cautious about a trade deal with Eastasia https://t.co/c77GVzO9E9
— Steve Peers (@StevePeers) September 22, 2021
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There are at least two issues here.
The first was the readiness of Brexiters to assume international free trade deals were easy – that they would naturally follow from Brexit with the United Kingdom having a fully independent trade policy.
This sentiment may be derived from cod-historical notions about Victorian Britain – where it is imagined that the likes of Richard Cobden would pop across the channel to negotiate a free trade deal and still be home for tea.
In the mundane world of 2021 – as opposed to the giddy biscuit-tin world of nostalgic reenactments – new trade deals are rarely quick or easy, and often may not be worth having at all.
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The second is that the prime minister knows he can say things that contradict what he said before and that few, if anyone, will care.
And this is despite the internet making it easier to expose such lies and other discrepancies.
In 2007 Al Gore predicted that the internet would make politics more honest. Untruths would be instantly exposed & voters would see the evidence for themselves
The fact-checking happened, but seems to impose no political cost. Understanding why is a major challenge for democracy https://t.co/HuM4BIvMiN
— Robert Saunders (@redhistorian) September 23, 2021
Other than for the sake of it as a public good, there is no real point in setting out the falsehoods.
This is one thing that George Orwell perhaps did not correctly anticipate in Nineteen Eighty-four – there would be no need to employ the likes of Winston Smith to go back and change the historical record, as it would make no difference as to whether people believed new false claims.
The future instead turned out to be President Trump and others waving away such inconvenient truths as ‘fake news’.
For as this blog has said many times: exposing lies is not enough when people do not mind the lies.
So we are now in a bubble of faux-historical sentimentality and hyper-partisanship, where the truth of the historical record makes no difference.
You may think the bubble cannot carry on, but yet it does.
It is the paradox of our age: it has never been easier to expose a falsehood, yet the falsehoods continue to have purchase.
And from this many of our current problems in law and policy follow.
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