19th June 2023
In December 2019, Boris Johnson had the greatest prize that our constitutional arrangements could bestow.
He had led his party to a substantial majority at a general election; his party had the mandate for its proposals in its manifesto; he had the command of his cabinet and his party; and he had even stripped out of his parliamentary party many more moderate Tories.
The opposition was in disarray, and the official opposition had had one of its worst election results in its history.
Few, if any, prime ministers have even been in such a strong position.
He had the prospect of at least one parliamentary term, perhaps more.
Yet now, less than one parliamentary term later, Johnson is not only out of government, he is out of parliament.
There is no comparable downfall in our parliamentary and political history.
Perhaps this story can be understood in purely personal terms: that Johnson was the author of his own downfall.
But.
Just as every politician gains power in a particular constitutional context, every politician who loses power also does so in a particular context.
Had some things been different, had certain events and processes take another course, Johnson could well still be prime minister.
Johnson may well have willed himself into power, but he certainly did not intend to lose power.
A sequence of events meant that it became outside of his control as to whether he could continue to be prime minister, and a further sequence of events meant that it became outside of his control as to whether he would “beat” the privileges committee.
The constitution of the United Kingdom regurgitated Johnson from our body politic and spat him out.
(And the the constitution of the United Kingdom then also regurgitated Elizabeth Truss from our body politic and spat that prime minister out too, though not as far.)
Had our constitutional arrangements been more rigid – more fixed, perhaps codified – it may well be that it could have been harder to get rid of Boris Johnson from government and then from parliament.
For, to repeat, after the last general election, Boris Johnson had the very greatest prize that our constitutional arrangements could bestow, and it is difficult to see how that prize could have ever been formally wrestled away from him by any codified procedure.
Our constitutional arrangements certainly could be a lot better in so many ways – but on the specific question of the ejection of Johnson: could our constitutional arrangements actually have been better?
And if that question seems to you to have a complacent premise, there is then the far more worrying, far less complacent question: what does it say about our constitutional arrangements that such a figure was ever able to get the greatest prize our constitutional arrangements could bestow in the first place?
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